Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.176270 0.198068 0.220883 0.246487 0.274364 0.303740 0.336978
2025-02-23 0.152680 0.183060 0.216429 0.255608 0.300147 0.349003 0.406441
2025-03-02 0.129177 0.164249 0.204468 0.253586 0.311518 0.377232 0.456948
2025-03-09 0.112088 0.150385 0.196044 0.253781 0.324088 0.406149 0.508345
2025-03-16 0.097652 0.137845 0.187543 0.252427 0.333742 0.431087 0.555138
2025-03-23 0.088724 0.131088 0.185189 0.257819 0.351120 0.465237 0.613489
2025-03-30 0.079151 0.122367 0.179338 0.257914 0.361261 0.490252 0.660862
2025-04-06 0.070865 0.114471 0.173732 0.257574 0.370297 0.513635 0.706349
2025-04-13 0.063738 0.107438 0.168590 0.257218 0.378850 0.536204 0.750962
2025-04-20 0.058291 0.102276 0.165529 0.259259 0.390316 0.562516 0.800704
2025-04-27 0.054886 0.099825 0.166036 0.266079 0.408250 0.597564 0.862441
2025-05-04 0.050582 0.095545 0.163488 0.268230 0.419566 0.623828 0.912933
2025-05-11 0.046773 0.091890 0.161865 0.271963 0.433712 0.654999 0.971798
2025-05-18 0.044712 0.090917 0.164219 0.281592 0.456490 0.698510 1.048330
2025-05-25 0.040181 0.085291 0.158888 0.279286 0.461800 0.717846 1.092202
2025-06-01 0.036632 0.081012 0.155353 0.279425 0.470513 0.741972 1.143019
2025-06-08 0.033133 0.076444 0.150983 0.277924 0.476559 0.762278 1.188759
2025-06-15 0.031278 0.074753 0.151260 0.283715 0.493652 0.798663 1.257693
2025-06-22 0.028626 0.071239 0.148153 0.283803 0.501902 0.822303 1.308880
2025-06-29 0.026153 0.067803 0.144914 0.283429 0.509288 0.844696 1.358559
2025-07-06 0.023908 0.064580 0.141802 0.283042 0.516512 0.866869 1.408188
2025-07-13 0.022216 0.062337 0.140298 0.285239 0.527797 0.895216 1.467186
2025-07-20 0.021321 0.061738 0.141781 0.292587 0.547485 0.936509 1.545775